Council for Scientific and Industrial Research CCAM Operational Forecasts

Conformal-cubic atmospheric model (CCAM) seasonal forecasts, presented as anomalies, are produced from an ensemble of 12 members, generated by using a 24-hour lagged average forecast method. The model is initialized from the 0Z analysis fields obtained from the Global Forecasting System (GFS), and is forced with SST anomalies persisted from the day of model initialization. Ensemble mean fields are displayed on the website of the Global Forecasting Centre for Southern Africa: http://www.gfcsa.net/csir.html. The CSIR's CCAM forecasts are provided to the South African Weather Service for consideration in the official multi-model seasonal forecasts for South Africa.

The link address is: http://www.gfcsa.net/csir.html