Global Sea-Surface Temperature Anomaly Forecasts (Issued on 10 April, 2012)

These sea-surface temperature (SST) anomaly forecasts are issued by the Climate Studies, Modelling and Environmental Health (CSM&EH) group of the CSIR's Natural Resources and the Environment (NRE). The forecasts are a result of a multi-model system that comprises of forecasts from: 1. A statistical model (canonical correlation analysis) that uses antecedent global SST fields as predictors; 2. The ECHAM4.5-MOM3-DC2 coupled GCM, administered by the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI); and, 3. The ECHAM4.5-GML coupled GCM, also administered by the IRI. All of the above forecasts are projected onto the 1x1 degree resolution of NOAA's OI.v2 SST using the Climate Predictability Tool (CPT) of the IRI, and then averaged (equal weights) to produce the multi-model forecasts.